New report offers roadmap for Sri Lanka’s economic revival

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Independent Growth Study Group unveils critical strategies for sustained and transformative growth in 2025-2030

– A new report launched today offers a bold roadmap for Sri Lanka to achieve sustainable and inclusive economic growth over the coming five years. Sustaining Transformative Growth in Sri Lanka 2025–2030, authored by an Independent Growth Study Group under the auspices of ODI Global and the Centre for Poverty Analysis (CEPA), provides critical policy recommendations for navigating the country’s complex economic landscape as it emerges from its worst economic crisis since independence.

Developed by a team of nine leading experts with extensive experience across public, private, and international sectors, the report highlights the significant progress made in stabilising the Sri Lankan economy, including renewed growth and reduced inflation. However, it stresses that the persistent challenge of high poverty levels requires a focus on economic transformation with structural reforms and targeted sectoral policies to mitigate future risks and unlock the nation’s vast potential.

Dr Ganeshan Wignaraja, Visiting Senior Fellow at ODI Global and Convenor of the Independent Growth Study Group, said:

“Sri Lanka has shown remarkable resilience in overcoming recent economic hardship, but the journey towards prosperity requires more than resilience – it demands bold action. This report provides a crucial framework, not just for consolidating the hard-won gains of stabilization, but for igniting truly transformative growth that uplifts all Sri Lankans. The opportunity is here, and we must act decisively to create a more inclusive and resilient economy.”

The study identifies six key policy areas as crucial for achieving sustainable growth: maintaining macroeconomic stability, integrating into global supply chains, improving factor markets, implementing targeted sectoral policies, reducing poverty and building political consensus. It also highlights key sectors poised for growth, including tourism, the digital economy, niche manufacturing and agriculture, driving the economic transformation of Sri Lanka in the future.

Prof. Sirimal Abeyratne, Executive Director of CEPA and a co-author of the report, emphasised the critical role of trade in this transformation:

“Sri Lanka’s historical under-performance in exports is directly linked to a persistent anti-export bias and cumbersome business regulations. Our findings underscore that strategically opening up to global trade and rigorously streamlining business procedures are not just options, but essential accelerators to boost exports, stimulate investment and unleash the full potential of Sri Lankan businesses on the international stage.”

Prof. Dirk Willem te Velde, Director of the International Economic Development Group at ODI Global, said:

“In today’s volatile global economy, Sri Lanka’s experience serves as a powerful lesson for recovery from deep economic crisis, setting an example for other emerging economies facing similar challenges. Our study argues how targeted policies for trade and production, innovation and digital economy, and  governance can transform the country’s economic landscape and avoid further macro-economic crises. This report is a call to action for all stakeholders – government, business, civil society and citizens alike – to work together towards a shared vision of a prosperous and transformed Sri Lanka.”

The report urges a concerted effort to leverage Sri Lanka’s strategic location and build on existing production capabilities to drive growth and reduce poverty. It emphasises the importance of strategic engagement with global and regional al supply chains and the digital economy to boost exports and attract foreign investment.

The report is available for download via the ODI Global website: www.odi.org/publications/sustaining-transformative-growth-in-sri-lanka-odi-cepa-growth-study-report. Printed copies will be available in bookstores across Sri Lanka soon. The report will also be made available in Sinhala and Tamil languages to ensure wider accessibility.

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Notes to Editors:

About the report:

Sustaining Transformative Growth in Sri Lanka 2025–2030

 Sri Lanka stands at a crossroads. Having emerged from its worst economic crisis since independence, the country faces the dual challenge of maintaining hard-won macroeconomic stability while igniting transformative growth. This report, a collaborative effort by ODI Global and the Centre for Poverty Analysis (CEPA), offers a crucial roadmap for navigating this complex landscape. While recent stabilisation efforts have yielded positive results, including renewed growth and reduced inflation, poverty levels remain alarmingly high. This study argues that continued structural reforms are essential to avert future crises and unlock Sri Lanka’s vast potential. By focusing on six key policy areas – macroeconomic stability, global supply chain integration, improved factor markets, targeted sectoral policies, poverty reduction and consensus-building – Sri Lanka can capitalise on opportunities in tourism, the digital economy, niche manufacturing and agriculture to achieve sustainable and inclusive growth between 2025 and 2030.

Physical copies of the report will be available at leading bookstores across Colombo soon, including in Sinhala and Tamil languages. The digital version is available to download now at: www.odi.org/publications/sustaining-transformative-growth-in-sri-lanka-odi-cepa-growth-study-report.

Photo caption

From left – Yvette Fernando ( Former Senior deputy governor at CBSL), Dr. Ganeshana Wignaraja ( Convener of the independent growth study group), Dr. Sirimal Abeyratne ( Executive Director CEPA), Dr. Dirk Willem te Velde ( Director ODI Global international economic development group)

About the authors:

This report was prepared by Sirimal Abeyratne, Chandranath Amerasekera, Ravin Basnayake, Indrajit Coomaraswamy, Yvette Fernando, Dirk Willem te Velde, Esala Weerakoon, Shea Wickremasinghe and Ganeshan Wignaraja. Convened by Ganeshan Wignaraja, these individuals formed an Independent Growth Study Group under the auspices of ODI Global and the Centre for Poverty Analysis (CEPA) in Colombo.

Media contact:

Angela Kolongo

Public Affairs and Communications Manager

International Economic Development Group (IEDG)

ODI, the global affairs think tank

[email protected] | +44 7715 077507

About ODI Global:

ODI Global is an independent global affairs think tank with offices in London, Brussels, and Washington, working to inspire people to act on injustice and inequality. Through research, convening and influencing, ODI Global provides evidence and ideas to help drive change.

For more information, visit: www.odi.org

About the Centre for Poverty Analysis (CEPA):

CEPA is an independent Sri Lankan think tank dedicated to promoting a better understanding of poverty-related development issues through research, dialogue and advocacy.

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